⚾MLB Friday best bets: Orioles to stay hot vs. Red Sox🤞
TheGx sports betting forum copy and paste machines reporting:
We have a packed Friday slate to look forward to as every MLB team is set to take the field.
Let's waste no time getting to the best bets as we look to end the week on a high and rebound from a 1-2 night.
They've scored an average of 6.35 runs per game over the last three weeks, which slots them third in the league - ahead of teams like the Braves, Dodgers, and Mariners.
Baltimore is giving its pitchers an awful lot of run support - something Kyle Bradish is unlikely to need.
He's one of the most in-form arms in the sport right now. Bradish has conceded only six runs over his past five starts, posting a .249 xwOBA. That's the best mark among all of the day's projected starting pitchers.
Bradish's best attribute of late is his ability to put balls in the dirt. He owns a ground-ball rate of 62% during this stretch, a hair more than 20% above the league average. Remarkable numbers.
As well as the Red Sox have hit in recent weeks, I think they're going to have a tough time generating offense against Bradish. When he eventually exits the game, the Orioles can be supremely confident in one of the league's best bullpens seeing the game through.
It's a much different story for the Red Sox. Tanner Houck is a serviceable arm but has lasted more than five innings only 31% of the time this season.
He is unlikely to put forth a ceiling game against a lethal Orioles offense, meaning the Red Sox are going to put plenty on the plate of their bullpen.
That's problematic considering only two teams - the Rockies and Angels - have lower bullpen ERAs since the beginning of August.
Look for the Orioles to extend their win streak in Boston.
Bet: Orioles (-125)
While he's fallen short in back-to-back games, both of those failures came against a red-hot Twins team that's plated nearly 5.5 runs per game since the beginning of August. Their offense is at the peak of its powers right now.
Montgomery finds himself in a golden spot to get back on track Friday night. The Athletics are hitting .231 over the past month and rank dead last in on-base percentage during that span.
Oakland is unlikely to grind out walks or string together the necessary hits to chase Montgomery from this game early on.
Although the Rangers were off yesterday, giving the bullpen some much-needed rest, it's worth noting their past two starters - Max Scherzer and Nathan Eovaldi - combined to last only 4 1/3 innings.
The Rangers will give Montgomery every opportunity to fight through trouble and give them some length in this spot.
Odds: -110 (playable to -130)
Even when Allen has shown the ability to limit hits and prevent runs, the walks have still been a problem.
That should continue against the Angels. For one, Allen is throwing a ton of balls on a game-to-game basis. Excluding those put in play, 46% of his pitches over the last month were balls. That is a lot.
The Angels are also walking a ton. They've completely altered their approach at the plate and changed from a team swinging at anything and everything to one that grinds out bases.
A couple of months ago, the Angels owned one of the lowest walk rates in the league. Fast forward, and they've earned at least two free passes off the opposing starter in 13 of the last 16 games.
Odds: -105 (playable to -125)
Todd Cordell is a sports betting writer at theScore. Be sure to follow him on Twitter @ToddCordell.
Sports gambling forum www.thegx.ca/forum copied and pasted this from the web🍻
TheGx sports betting forum copy and paste machines reporting:
We have a packed Friday slate to look forward to as every MLB team is set to take the field.
Let's waste no time getting to the best bets as we look to end the week on a high and rebound from a 1-2 night.
Orioles (-125) @ Red Sox (+105)
The Orioles are hot in every sense of the word. They've won five straight games, seven of the past 10, and their offense has been absolutely lethal for weeks now.They've scored an average of 6.35 runs per game over the last three weeks, which slots them third in the league - ahead of teams like the Braves, Dodgers, and Mariners.
Baltimore is giving its pitchers an awful lot of run support - something Kyle Bradish is unlikely to need.
He's one of the most in-form arms in the sport right now. Bradish has conceded only six runs over his past five starts, posting a .249 xwOBA. That's the best mark among all of the day's projected starting pitchers.
Bradish's best attribute of late is his ability to put balls in the dirt. He owns a ground-ball rate of 62% during this stretch, a hair more than 20% above the league average. Remarkable numbers.
As well as the Red Sox have hit in recent weeks, I think they're going to have a tough time generating offense against Bradish. When he eventually exits the game, the Orioles can be supremely confident in one of the league's best bullpens seeing the game through.
It's a much different story for the Red Sox. Tanner Houck is a serviceable arm but has lasted more than five innings only 31% of the time this season.
He is unlikely to put forth a ceiling game against a lethal Orioles offense, meaning the Red Sox are going to put plenty on the plate of their bullpen.
That's problematic considering only two teams - the Rockies and Angels - have lower bullpen ERAs since the beginning of August.
Look for the Orioles to extend their win streak in Boston.
Bet: Orioles (-125)
Jordan Montgomery over 17.5 outs
Montgomery consistently pitches very deep into games. He's completed at least six innings in 12 of his past 15 starts.While he's fallen short in back-to-back games, both of those failures came against a red-hot Twins team that's plated nearly 5.5 runs per game since the beginning of August. Their offense is at the peak of its powers right now.
Montgomery finds himself in a golden spot to get back on track Friday night. The Athletics are hitting .231 over the past month and rank dead last in on-base percentage during that span.
Oakland is unlikely to grind out walks or string together the necessary hits to chase Montgomery from this game early on.
Although the Rangers were off yesterday, giving the bullpen some much-needed rest, it's worth noting their past two starters - Max Scherzer and Nathan Eovaldi - combined to last only 4 1/3 innings.
The Rangers will give Montgomery every opportunity to fight through trouble and give them some length in this spot.
Odds: -110 (playable to -130)
Logan Allen over 1.5 walks
Allen has fought through control issues for much of the season. He's walked multiple batters in 67% of his starts this year, including 11 of his last 14.Even when Allen has shown the ability to limit hits and prevent runs, the walks have still been a problem.
That should continue against the Angels. For one, Allen is throwing a ton of balls on a game-to-game basis. Excluding those put in play, 46% of his pitches over the last month were balls. That is a lot.
The Angels are also walking a ton. They've completely altered their approach at the plate and changed from a team swinging at anything and everything to one that grinds out bases.
A couple of months ago, the Angels owned one of the lowest walk rates in the league. Fast forward, and they've earned at least two free passes off the opposing starter in 13 of the last 16 games.
Odds: -105 (playable to -125)
Todd Cordell is a sports betting writer at theScore. Be sure to follow him on Twitter @ToddCordell.
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